ODDSCREW SPORTS ANALYTICS

Sports analytics.
Built in public.

Data-driven NFL projections, market analysis, and transparent forward testing. OddsCrew freezes qualifying model projections before results and tracks what happens next.

Current Model V12
Qualified This Week 6
Validation Status Forward Testing
CURRENT BOARD

Qualified Projections

NFL 2026 ยท WEEK 2

Current frozen weekly projections that satisfy OddsCrew's predefined V12 qualification criteria. Qualification is a model-selection signal, not a guarantee of an outcome.

Dawson Knox

Receiving Yards

ABOVE MARKET
Market 12.5
Projection 23.7
Gap +11.2
Volatility 17.6
QUALIFIED MODEL PROJECTION

Patrick Mahomes

Rushing Yards

ABOVE MARKET
Market 15.5
Projection 28.9
Gap +13.4
Volatility 18.6
QUALIFIED MODEL PROJECTION

Bhayshul Tuten

Rushing Yards

BELOW MARKET
Market 52.5
Projection 28.7
Gap -23.8
Volatility 20.7
QUALIFIED MODEL PROJECTION

Xavier Worthy

Receiving Yards

BELOW MARKET
Market 37.5
Projection 31.6
Gap -5.9
Volatility 22.9
QUALIFIED MODEL PROJECTION

Jaxson Dart

Rushing Yards

ABOVE MARKET
Market 29.5
Projection 37.0
Gap +7.5
Volatility 24.5
QUALIFIED MODEL PROJECTION

Tyler Warren

Receiving Yards

BELOW MARKET
Market 45.5
Projection 39.9
Gap -5.6
Volatility 25.1
QUALIFIED MODEL PROJECTION
TRANSPARENCY

Track Record

FORWARD TESTING IN PROGRESS

Results will stay public.

OddsCrew is building its forward record without retroactively changing qualification rules based on new results. Completed weeks will become the public performance history.

No premature headline record.

We are intentionally not presenting headline performance statistics before completed untouched forward observations have accumulated. Current model: V12. Current week: 2. Qualified this week: 6.

THE PROCESS

How OddsCrew Works

Research is separated from hindsight: evaluate the market, generate the model projection, apply frozen criteria, record qualifying projections, then grade the results.

01 MARKET

Collect the current player-prop market.

02 MODEL

Generate independent player projections.

03 FILTER

Apply predefined qualification criteria.

04 FREEZE

Save projections before results.

05 GRADE

Compare projections with actual results.

RESEARCH

Methodology

Market-aware projections

V12 compares historical player production with the sportsbook market line and identifies discrepancies between its projection and the posted line.

Uncertainty matters

Historical player volatility is used as an uncertainty filter. A projection must satisfy the frozen research criteria before appearing as qualified.

Frozen before results

Qualifying projections are recorded before results are known, creating a cleaner forward-testing process.

No guaranteed outcomes

Qualification is not a guaranteed result or validated win probability. Forward results are used to evaluate the system.

ABOUT

Building OddsCrew

Data. Research. Edges.

OddsCrew is an independent sports analytics project focused on transparent, data-driven tools for analyzing sports markets. The current research program begins with NFL player projections and ongoing forward testing.